How much can you trust your instincts

Know-nuffin · How much can you trust your instincts

I was playing a PL08 cash table yesterday, taking a free look from the bb when holding 9-10-Q-Q, I flopped J-8-8, with 3 others in the hand.

We all checked the flop and when the turn put a second suited on the board but killed the low, I checked and was the only caller to a min bet.

This left me hu, and was pleased to see a Q on the river.

First to act I bet 1/3 pot, was raised to a full pot to which I re-raised the pot.

The other player thought long and hard and made a comment, "go on then I'll pay you off."

He had a pair of jacks in his hand.

He said later he knew I had the Queens, and I knew he had the Jacks.

How do we know these things.

It's odd how (ignoring the actual betting/game situation), I know when my KK runs into AA, yet like a lamb to the slaughter I'll call a shove.

How much can we go by feel.

addam00

well... like they always say go for insticts if your not that sure. what else to do next... as yoda would say..

Concentrate...feel the Force flow. Yes. Good. Calm, yes. Through the Force, things you will see. Other places. The future...the past. Old friends long gone

Arjonius

The hand in question doesn't seem so much a matter of instincts as of figuring out what you can have that fits the action. Once you re-pot the river, what can you possibly have except QQ or 88? A bluff isn't impossible - including bluffing with a worse made hand - but how likely is it? So your range is pretty narrow. Even assuming a 20% bluff rate, which seems pretty high, it seems like not that difficult a fold.

I think sniffing out AA when you hold KK is generally more instinctual since there will more often be a wider possible hand range.

Know-nuffin

Oh wow... How do you sniff out K9 ?

addam00

that is becasue the force is with him.. believe in the force and the force shall be with you

kesza

This is the ultimate question. Can you trust your instincts? Can you separate your instincts from your ego's words? This is the thoughest.. Your poker knowledge or the odds is just a frame which is expandable by any read anytime...
And anyway, did you know that Negreanu is originally from Romania, and... his grandmother was hungarian?

..That explains a lot to me.

(ok, just kidding)

kesza

ok, but that reraise at 7:33.. that's a bad move I think. And after that, it was not too hard to find out why is that guy so self-assured.. He had the 2nd best possible hand.. If Daniel had the best hand, it's an instacall so it's not the question... But, that guy was acting exactly like he has the best hand and he has!

Know-nuffin

Oh yeah love that phrase...

jolub

My instincts are useually correct. My problem is that I don't follow them.

Arjonius